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Economists focus on UK and Eurozone CPI inflation data
Economists are waiting for the release of important economic data coming from the United Kingdom (UK) and the Eurozone this week. On Wednesday July 18th 2018, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) will publish data regarding the UK’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation and the Producer Price Index for June 2018. On the same day, Eurostat will publish the Eurozone’s CPI inflation report for June 2018. 

UK CPI inflation likely to have picked up in June 2018

The most important of the releases is the UK’s CPI inflation data. The CPI is an indicator used to measure the rate at which the prices of goods and services bought by households rise or fall, which is the rate of inflation, referred to as the CPI inflation. Analysts are anticipating that the CPI inflation picked up coming in at 2.6%, on an annualised basis. The ONS will also release data regarding the UK’s core CPI inflation in June 2018. Core CPI inflation is inflation excluding the prices of seasonally volatile products such as food and energy. According to analysts’ forecasts, the UK’s core CPI inflation is expected to have increased from 2.1% recorded in May 2018 to 2.2% on a year-to-year basis. 

In May 2018, the UK’s CPI inflation had surprised economists by remaining unchanged at 2.4%, on a year-to-year basis, which constitutes a one-year low. The consensus among market experts was that the CPI inflation would increase to 2.5%. Core CPI inflation had also remained flat at 2.1%. The ONS report accompanying the data said that Transport inflation jumped on higher fuels and lubricants costs, while prices rose at a softer pace for recreation & culture, housing & utilities, restaurants & hotels, and food & non-alcoholic beverages.

The Bank of England’s (BoE) board and its Governor Mark Carney would like to see the UK’s CPI inflation rate hovering around 2%. Average earnings, including bonuses, are expected to have increased by 2.5% during May 2018 and, if the inflation forecast is confirmed, the recent pattern of wages rising faster than prices will be reversed. 

Eurozone CPI inflation

On July 18th 2018, Eurostat, which is the official statistical office of the European Union (EU), is expected to publish data regarding the Eurozone’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation in June 2018. Economists polled by Bloomberg on July 11th 2018 suggest that the Euro-bloc’s headline inflation rose to 2.0%, on an annualised basis, during June 2018. If the figure is confirmed, it will be the highest since February 2017.

The inflation rate is expected to rise due to increased prices of fuel and food. A flash estimate report released by Eurostat on June 29th 2018 said that “looking at the main components of euro area inflation, energy is expected to have the highest annual rate in June 2018 (8.0%, compared with 6.1% in May 2018), followed by food, alcohol & tobacco (2.8%, compared with 2.5% in May), services (1.3%, compared with 1.6% in May) and non-energy industrial goods (0.4%, compared with 0.3% in May).”

Trade the British Pound and the Euro on the STO platform

The British Pound against the Euro, the Euro against the US Dollar and the British Pound against the US Dollar are just three of the major currency pairs that you can trade with on the STO platform. STO provides its clients with all the necessary educational material such as webinars to help them with preparing a suitable trading strategy. 

Trading Forex and CFDs, which are leveraged products, are high risk investments and puts your capital at risk. You may sustain a loss of some or all of your invested capital. Only speculate with money you can afford to lose.
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